Monday, September 30, 2013

Cleveland Browns - Week 4



The Browns win again! Thanks in large part to Jordan Cameron and Brian Hoyer. I don't know if he is the answer at quarterback, but I'd really like to try him out. Hopefully Chud won't switch him out for Weeden. Cleveland would be in an uproar and Chud may have to fear for his life. I think Weeden is at a disadvantage because of his age, so he had to learn things quickly. He didn't. I'm not willing to sacrifice on QB, so I say we either stick with Hoyer, draft our franchise QB next year, or both. Either way, let's trade Weeden or cut him. Maybe we can get a 6th round pick for him. That's a little bit of money coming off the books, too, which allows the Browns to pick up another good player.

I wrote a post about the Browns last year giving some hope for future years. While I still think we're a year away from the playoffs, and I could be wrong about that as we may be going this year, we have some promising, young talent. I think the keyword here is young. Not only will the team start to gel more and bring in some more talent, but the current talent we have will grow. Gordon and Cameron can still get BETTER. Isn't that a scary thought!?

Negatives

Offense is still the work-in-progress for this team. This has to be taken with a lot of salt grains, though, since Hoyer has 3 starts in his entire career under his belt and the offense is making a lot of big adjustments. Richardson is gone, Gordon is back, and McGahee is added. McGahee keeps improving, by the way. What a great mid-season pickup. Still, they have some things to set right. The Browns should have scored more points than they did, but we'll get there. Norv Turner is doing a fantastic job with Hoyer.

I don't think this is as big a deal, but the kicking game needs to step up. I'm glad we didn't settle on a bad kicker, but Cundiff can't go 1-3 on field goals and expect the Browns to win tight games. I'm glad to see he punched the 51-yarder in, so I'm willing to give him some leeway, but keep an eye out for any really good kickers in the draft or that hit the free agent market. Dawson was a great kicker, so at least in special teams, the Browns expect a lot.

The right side of the O-line will need to be tweaked a little going into next year. With Mack and Thomas on the middle/left sides, the right side can still be a concern. Granted, we were going up against possibly the best D-line in the NFL this past week, so it's not a huge concern they weren't terribly effective. With injuries always seeming to pile up on that side of the line, though, this issue may need to be addressed by next year, at least in terms of depth.

Positives

This defense is a top-5 defense without question. Right now, they are ranked #6 in total defense, #9 in passing defense, and #4 in run defense. Ranked #3 in sacks. We have a top-10 defense in BOTH rushing and passing. How dramatic a change is that?! Thank you, Ray Horton. This guy really is the real deal. Even Buster Skrine looks good in this new defense! And want to hear something really crazy? In terms of yards per attempt, Cleveland has the #2 ranked pass defense and #1 ranked rush defense. What that means is that even though we've given up a few more yards in each category, it took teams a heck of a lot more tries to do it. You can make the argument that Cleveland has the #1 defense in the NFL right now.

Brian Hoyer is clutch. Having a clutch QB makes a huge difference, especially when NFL games are closer than ever. Remember that Weeden pass that sailed over the WR's head last year? I'll take Hoyer right now. Even when he loses (because he will eventually), he's proven a lot so far. Right now, the Browns are ranked #12 in passing. If we just go by Hoyer's performance and not Weeden's, we're probably top-10. It may be a fluke, but isn't it better than the alternative right now?

Jordan Cameron has my vote for most improved player. I took him on all my fantasy teams and it paid off. He has the build of the great tight ends in this game, and he's shown he can do more than catch. Josh Gordon is a constant deep threat and is still getting better. While Bess, Benjamin, Little, and Cooper are all good options at WR, we still need a #2 guy (or another #1 guy). Wanna hear some of the names next year to get excited about? Keep in mind, last year was the Browns' defensive overhaul. This year it's gonna be the offense:


  • Victor Cruz...best WR on the Giants, but if they slip, does he want out?
  • Anquan Boldin...if the 49ers don't win it this year, or come close, think he may want to stick it to the Ravens bad enough?
  • Kenny Britt...when healthy, he's a really good receiver. 
  • Ted Ginn...Ohio State guy, may be the fastest guy in football. With him and Benjamin lined up, how can you contain their speed AND double Gordon?
  • Jeremy Maclin...another injury-plagued guy who Chip Kelly may not want anymore. When healthy, he's a top-15 receiver. 
  • Mario Manningham...coming back from injury, the 49ers have set up a WR core without him. He may want to feel more needed. 
  • Hakeem Nicks...another Giants player who may want out.
  • Santana Moss...maybe the frustration in Washington grows too much.
  • Emmanuel Sanders...if the Steelers win only a few games, would he want out?
  • Devin Hester...another speed guy.
  • Jacoby Jones...another Ravens player who may want to join Kruger. 
  • James Jones...very good receiver for Green Bay. Rodgers may not be there much longer, though, if he and his coach can't get along. What happens to their receivers without Rodgers?
  • Jerricho Cotchery...another Steeler we'd gladly take just to stick it to Pittsburgh, right?
  • Phil Dawson...not a WR, but how cool would that be to see Phil come back!?


The Browns were criticized heavily by the media, especially by Jamison Hensley the AFC North ESPN blogger, for not going out and getting more talent through free agency, especially a CB opposite Joe Haden. I loved the Browns response to this. It was basically "we brought in a lot of new guys, we just didn't want to overhaul the whole thing so we cut it at the number of new players that we did." They proved after the Richardson trade that, once everyone started to gel on the team, they were not opposed to bringing in new talent. Hence, McGahee. Don't be surprised if they add in a couple more pieces before season end. This administration is making the right calls for player personnel because, for once, they care about winning. So not only do we have the guts to pull the trigger on some new guys, we have the money. We can easily overpay for a guy on this list.

Take Away

Cleveland has really positioned themselves well. This is what Seattle and San Francisco did a few years ago. They used to be horrible. That division was the bottom-dweller of the NFL. Now it's a powerhouse. What happened? They brought in new coaches, new administrations, new ways of thinking. They collected draft picks and hit a gold mine at QB that NOBODY else saw. Maybe Hoyer is that guy, and if he's not, we'll get our guy in the next draft.

Well guess what, football fans?! The Browns now have a great coaching staff, a great owner, and a great GM. We are finally doing things the right way. We haven't for a while; now we are. This isn't the same old Browns team. Even if they finish 5-11, it's a different feeling. Getting rid of Richardson may have woken up some Browns fans. "We get rid of arguably our best player and get BETTER?!" Holmgren really looks bad now having drafted Weeden and Richardson in the first round. He did pick up Gordon and Cameron, though. So thanks for those.

The Browns are on our way to becoming a contender in the AFC. Contender for what? I don't know, but it's not contending for last place anymore. Suck it, Steelers!!

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Cleveland Browns - Week 3



Wow! What a great win for the Browns! And to make this even more special, my in-laws flew out from Utah to watch the game as they're Vikings fans. I get to hold this over them for a looooong time!


Negatives
I don't really want to put any negatives here, considering the circumstances and the fact that it was a win. But there will always be questions about some part of the team, even good teams. The run game was pretty non-existent. Granted this was McGahee's first week and not even a full one at that. I think he'll come along and be a good RB for us this season and possibly next year. Brandon Jackson also remains a good option once fully healthy.

While Cleveland stopped Petersen on his rush attempts, we let Christian Ponder run for two touchdowns. That's a little embarrassing.

Three interceptions are never good, but again, it was Hoyer's first week as a starter. And he matched those with touchdowns.

There are still plenty of gaps to figure out (QB, CB, FS, RG), but the difference between this year and years past is that we're actually figuring some things out right now. TE has been fixed, we'll be getting a franchise QB next year (assuming Hoyer doesn't shock the world and become a true starter, but I still think we take one in the first round this draft), and the defense just held the best RB in the league to under 100 yards on 25 carries! The only other two teams to do that in the past 2 years? Texans and 49ers. We're in pretty good company.

Positives
For the first time this season, and hopefully not the last, there are more positives than negatives!

Hoyer is the only Brown to pass for more than 300 yards in his debut. That should count for something right? He did it on the road, with very little help at RB, against a playoff team the previous year. He may not be the answer at QB, but he's worth a shot at replacing Weeden. Sorry Brandon, you've had your chances, you're old, and you're just not accurate. I'm officially clamoring for Hoyer to start, Campbell to back him up, and a new franchise QB next year unless Hoyer gives us reason to believe otherwise. That would take a lot.

Josh Gordon is a true #1 receiver now. Over 100 yards receiving in his debut game this year. If he can get his head on straight, he'll be competing with the elite WR's in this league. He's bigger and faster than most, which makes Megatron so deadly.

TE Jordan Cameron may just be the best one in the league not named Jimmy Graham or Vernon Davis. He fits that same mold. He's strong, quick, and has great hands. It just took him a little bit of time to get used to being in the NFL. He's our #2 receiver really, and will be a match-up nightmare for opposing defenses. He already has been so far.

Davone Bess had a really good night very quietly. Now with Gordon back and Cameron emerging, Bess is the Browns third option at WR. He's the #1 3rd-down received over the past 5 years and it's not close. A smart, veteran player who does have his head on straight and can provide some leadership in the locker room. I thought this at the time: he was the best pickup of last year's draft because of our need at WR.

Again, this defense is top-10. Right now, it's #8 against the run AND that's having played AP and Ray Rice this year. I still believe next season we get some secondary help in a CB and FS, which would make this defense a top-5 defense next year. We're close this year, though.

We won on the road for the first time since beating Oakland last year. That's something the Browns have to change. We also won by a touchdown or less. Over the past two years, we are 6-11 in games decided by a touchdown or less.

Take Away
The Browns now have actual talent, and if you listen to analysts of any outlet, they will say the same thing. Josh Gordon, Davone Bess, Jordan Cameron, Joe Thomas, Alex Mack, and a lot of players on defense. Don't forget about Travis Benjamin, either, who will be a great speed receiver and is already a great special teams guy. Not only do we have talent, but we're shaping the team the right way. I loved the kicker competition. Who is going to win? Nobody, because for the first time in a LONG time, the Browns are getting some standards. We're not going to take someone because we have to. We can go out and get someone better. We've loaded up on free agents which never happens. Desmond Bryant, Paul Kruger, Chris Owens, and Willis McGahee are just some of the names.

The Browns have taken some baby steps so far and it'll just get better. Our captains, Joe Thomas and D'Qwell Jackson, are both on board with what the Browns are doing. In fact, that's why Joe Thomas re-signed with Cleveland. We have a great owner who cares about winning, a smart GM, a good but unproven head coach, and a great coaching staff in Turner & Horton. This is the only Cleveland sports team, in my opinion, who has a great owner - GM - coach (staff included) administrative line. Indians have a decent one with a great coach. You need that to build a great franchise. That's what the Browns can be in a few years. Until then, we can play some great football games and even make the playoffs (next year, not this year). I think this season we'll come close, though. It's okay to feel good, Browns fans! Feels weird though, doesn't it?

Thursday, September 19, 2013

Post Richardson



I thought I published my first post for week 1 on the Browns, but I guess not. So I just barely posted my reaction from week 1. I was going to do week 2 on here, but this week I think I'll discuss what's on every Browns fans' mind now: the Trent Richardson trade.

Even though I've lived in Utah for 7 years now, I know I'm still from Cleveland because the second I heard about this trade driving home from work, I was infuriated. After a day to vent, calm down, decide not to buy another browns jersey for a while, and along with some kicking and screaming, I am now in a good spot to write down some rational thoughts.

The initial reaction to the trade differs between Browns fans and non-Browns fans. As I look to more sports analysts for their opinions on the trade, I realize that not everyone thinks this is a disaster for Cleveland. Some believe that a first round RB was a bad choice anyway, especially at #3. Now the Browns I'm sure will lock up another top-5 pick this season, but the pick they traded Richardson for will probably be closer to #24. Right now, we would have the 21st pick. Plus they save $6.6 million in salary that could go elsewhere.

One argument is that championship teams aren't built on RB's. Minnesota does well with AP, even with a QB worse than Brandon Weeden. Washington has a dynamic young running back. Kansas City has Jamaal Charles and they do well. But none of these teams are championship contenders. The Giants, Patriots, Packers, Steelers, Broncos, and Falcons all have gone deep into the playoffs and/or won super bowls without great running backs. They had serviceable ones, sure, but not great. What they had was an elite QB and great O-lines and D-lines. The 49ers, Seahawks, Ravens, and Texans all have elite running backs but they have elite QB's as well. That's the difference.

Even though most Browns fans, understandably so, feel that their organization has made another classic Browns blunder, this one has a different feel to it. What this move says is (1) Richardson wasn't going to be the elite RB everyone thought he was going to be (although I think he'll do better in Indy than here) and (2) Brandon Weeden is gone. Despite being a 2nd-year player, he's old. He has the big arm, but not the accuracy.

Even though he showed promise, the Browns have some good coaches on their staff who have seen premier talent at RB. They wouldn't have traded T-Rich if they thought he was going to be AP-like. This year, he's only averaging 3.4 yards a carry behind a solid O-line. That's actually less than Brandon Weeden at 3.5 yards a carry. He's going to be good; just not with the Browns.

Speaking of Weeden, this move tells me that he's gone. The organization feels like he may be a serviceable backup, but he's not a starting quarterback in the NFL. They had high hopes for him, but the Browns organization doesn't want to wait around for him to develop. They're actually admitting, "hey, he's not our guy, so we're going to get some draft picks to package together to get our guy." If the Browns don't get the #1 pick, they'll get close enough to trade up to get their QB. And Norv Turner is one of the best at developing the guy he thinks can be a great QB. He took a decent Philip Rivers and made him elite. He'll do the same for whatever rookie the Browns draft, albeit AJ McCarron (my favorite choice), Aaron Murray (a notch below my favorite), Teddy Bridgewater, Tajh Boyd, or, dare I say it, Johnny Manziel. These are franchise QB's.

Does it suck? Of course. We don't exactly tank this year, but we tank. The offense has a lot of holes now, though one just got plugged with Josh Gordon coming back at WR and the right guard situation fixed up. The defense needs some time to gel, and this year will allow them to do that. Last year was an overhaul for the defense. This next off-season will be an offensive overhaul. We'll be getting a new QB, a new RB, probably another WR, and an offensive lineman or three. My guess is that they'll go out and upgrade at CB opposite Haden and also a FS to go along with Ward in the secondary. They'll add maybe another LB.

They can do all this through free agency or the draft. They are now loaded with draft picks for what most are saying is a very deep draft. Hopefully it goes 4 rounds, because the Browns have 7 picks to use up in that time. The Browns currently have two 1st round picks, one 2nd round pick, two 3rd round picks, two 4th round picks, one 5th round pick, one 6th round pick, one 7th round pick, and probably a compensatory pick or two in the final two rounds. Even with no compensatory picks, the Browns have 10 draft slots with 7 of them in the first four rounds. That's a QB (maybe giving up an additional pick or two in order to move up to that spot), RB, WR, G, CB, SS, and LB. QB, CB, RB, and G will be the first four picks I'm guessing. It also depends on who they get in free agency. Last season gave me hope because the Browns have never done ANYTHING well in free agency. Last year they picked up 2 quality additions in Paul Kruger and Desmond Bryant. David Nelson, Quentin Groves, and Chris Owens were also good pickups.

I guess the point of this post is that, yes, the Browns are making some moves that may leave some people scratching their heads, but it's different this time. We;re starting over at a lot of places that we should've done better with in the first place. We're getting our franchise QB this off-season, so watch a lot of college football. We're going to overhaul the offense just like we did the defense this year. With a solid front 7 on D and improvements in the secondary, when we finally can start moving the ball down the field, we're going to be a dangerous team. With the sliding of the Steelers and the Ravens losing a lot of big pieces last season, I think, this time, we really are a year or two away.

Cleveland Browns - Week 1



Here we go! The Browns kick off another season. This season feels new though. There's something a little different about it. It's not the same ol regime...the same ol Browns. It's new, it's better, and despite losing to the Dolphins in their home opener, there's a comfort in knowing the Browns are heading in the right direction.

The stats from the game don't really tell the complete story. For example, one of Weeden's picks wasn't his fault. Granted that still means two were, but it's important to place the blame accordingly. There are a lot of negatives, but there are some positives to hang hope on.

Negatives

There are two stats that are really concerning to me, and this is the one that worries me more: 1-14 on 3rd down conversions. This stat represents how you are in crisis and that percentage is not going to cut it. It doesn't help that Davone Bess is is their go-to-guy on third down (or should be considering his effeciency rating) and the Dolphins knew how to play him. With Gordon out and Benjamin still learning the ropes, that left Cameron and Bess as their only play-making receivers on offense. Cameron didn't come off the line every time, so pretty much concentrate on Bess, especially on third downs. Browns have got to get better in this category.

The second surprising stat was the six sacks. This will get better as their offensive line gets healthier, but the one thing Cleveland has going for them is a strong O-line. This doesn't help that argument.

I'm not as upset at Richardson's mere 13 carries that game. Especially with the way Miami controlled the line of scrimmage, if he had more carries, I don't think much would've changed. As it was, he averaged only 3.6 yards per carry. Not good enough to merit more carries, especially when RB is as thin as it is right now. If Trent did get hurt, the Browns would've probably had to send in the kicker to play RB. Pull the trigger a little more on passing so we can get some mistakes out of Weeden now so he doesn't make them later on. I can agree with that way of thinking. Plus even off of Weeden's three picks, the Dolphins only got a field goal out of them.

Buster Skrine stinks, but we knew that, didn't we? We just need McFadden to grow into the starting spot.

Positives

Jordan Cameron is going to be a stud at TE. He seems to fit just like a Jimmy Graham or a Vernon Davis. Again, once Gordon comes back from suspension, they'll have a good arsenal of weapons for Weeden to work with. Man, Gordon can't get back fast enough!

If Greg Little doesn't drop that pass which turned into a pick, Weeden throws for over 300 yards in his opening game without the Browns' star wide receiver. I don't know about you, but I feel pretty good about that. He outdid Tom Brady in terms of yards. In fact, in total passing yards, he's 12th on the list. I know that doesn't mean he did a fantastic job, but when he's coming from 28th in the league last year, that's a big improvement. Weeden has the talent, he's going to be the guy going forward. Norv Turner has a lot of work to do, but Weeden will be the Browns franchise QB at least for a couple more years (until hopefully we get Jameis Winston from FSU). The efficiency will come.

Paul Kruger and Desmond Bryant are going to be great. Once Mingo gets into the mix, the Browns front seven are going to be really dangerous. Four sacks isn't anything to feel bad about. Aside from his two sacks, Bryant also nailed the Dolphins QB four times.

Everyone in the division is 0-1. At least we didn't let someone put up 7 TD's against us, right?!

Take Away

It's too early for Browns fans to start chanting "maybe next year." We'll know more about this team in about a month. They may be 0-4 by then, and if so, we'll know this year probably isn't it. But we've got some pieces now and next year is the year pegged for the Browns to make a playoff run anyway. Let's have some faith in the new coaches, players, owners, and systems by not over-reacting just yet.

Saturday, September 7, 2013

College Football - Week 1

College football is finally here! Every week I will be doing a recap of what we learned from the previous week and a list of games to watch for the upcoming week, as well as my Prime 5 Picks. The “What We Learned” section will include some things we learned from the previous week of football and will always include some info on the Big Three Utah teams (sorry Weber State) as well as some other teams across the country.  

The “Games to Watch” section will list some exciting upcoming games in the next week. Last year I went 44-21 with my “Prime 5 Picks.” I’ll look to improve my record this season. Each week, I will make 5 picks and I’ll try to pick the underdogs who will pull off the upsets as well as road teams. I’ll be sure to include at least one of the Big 3 Utah teams.

What We Learned

BYU is not ready for big time football. They had multiple chances to take Virginia out in the rain-drenched, delayed, firework-filled game. After Hill led the Cougars with a very impressive drive, he wasn’t able to connect with his receivers after they fell behind. His 33% completion percentage should not entirely be a reflection of his performance Saturday with all the drops from BYU receivers. Good thing is it was only week 1 and not week 10.

Utah State showed us that they could score, but we knew that already. Chuckie Keeton had a great performance, but again, no surprise there. The defense didn’t really hold up, they still have some great rushers including Keeton, and they’re still within a touchdown of the Utes. We didn’t really learn a ton about this team and their new coach this past week, so we look forward to watching more of them.

The Utes are even harder to figure out than the Aggies. We knew they’d be close to Utah State. They received a 3-point margin for playing at home, and only won by four, so it’s safe to say this team is pretty even with Utah State. Fortunately for them they were able to extend their lead in the 12th-oldest FBS rivalry.
 
Alabama is still the nation’s best team until proven otherwise. There is no clear-cut number two out there. 

Oregon had a dominating performance, an injury- and suspension-ridden Ohio State team handled business against Buffalo, Clemson upset Georgia at home, and Stanford is still hanging around with possibly the best coach in college football on their sideline. You also have South Carolina, LSU, Louisville, and Florida along with Manziel and company waiting to make their cases.

Boise State and Oregon State were a little overrated starting off. Boise State has been mostly overrated the past few years, but now I think writers and media analysts are hanging onto past success even more.
Florida State’s young phenom QB Jameis Winston is scary good. The freshmen threw for 356 yards and four TD’s while rushing for one as well. The scarier part is went 25-27. That’s an amazing feat no matter who you are. The scariest part is that this was his first college football game ever.

Games to Watch

We’re still weeding out the warm-up games a lot of teams have on their schedules, but there are a few really great games to watch this week despite the NFL stealing some of the limelight with its season-opener on Thursday. Here is the rundown of games to tune in to:

South Carolina at Georgia – The SEC opener will have title implications; that shows how deep the SEC is. Georgia will look to rebound from their loss against Clemson. South Carolina’s box score looked impressive against the Tar Heels, but North Carolina was able to give them fits with their fast-paced offense. Look for Georgia to improve upon the Tar Heels’ blueprint.

Florida at Miami – Florida will be favored in this game, but look for Miami to really put up a fight. The Canes sophomore running back Duke Johnson is arguably the best in the country. He put up 186 yards last week, albeit against an inferior opponent. Florida’s run-defense looked solid in their first outing.

Notre Dame at Michigan – This will be a tell-tale game for both sides. Notre Dame was really the ninth- or tenth-best team in the country last year despite their perfect record and BCS Championship Game bid. This year they’re ranked in the mid-teens right in front of a Michigan team who has national title hopes. Beating the Irish at home will need to be their first step.

Texas at BYU – Texas is much improved from years past, and BYU will be at home. Most have Texas favored in this game, but if BYU can pull off the upset, they’ll raise some eyebrows nationally.

West Virginia at Oklahoma – Last year, Oklahoma beat out West Virginia by a point in a high-scoring 50-49 game. That was also with Geno Smith leading the Mountaineers at QB. Oklahoma looks to be the better team, but it should be a fun game to watch.

Prime 5 Picks

Here are the Prime 5 Picks for week 2:

1) Texas over BYU (road win). Sorry Cougars, you start the year 0-2. Texas isn’t great, so it’s a winnable game for Bronco and bunch. Based on last week, BYU will also be praying for good weather.

2) Georgia over South Carolina (upset). Even though South Carolina has the best defensive lineman in college football, Georgia can avoid him. The Bulldogs are too much for the Gamecocks defense to handle.

3) Utah State over Air Force (upset). Utah State was able to figure out some things on offense, and this week they make some adjustments on defense to hold off Air Force.


4) Michigan over Notre Dame. While Michigan is barely favored at home, this is going to be a tough game. I don’t think the Irish get the breaks they did last year to finish unscathed in the regular season. 

5) Miami over Florida (upset). Florida will be favored this time, but this is their trap game. Miami has a dynamic runner and are a dark horse for many to make a BCS bowl game this year. Florida’s also on the road.