Monday, April 29, 2013

NFL Draft 2013 - Cleveland Browns (Post-Draft)


The NFL Draft is over, and what a weird and unexpected draft for the Browns. With tons of cap space, needs on the roster, and a new administration to shake things up, the Browns made less moves than everyone thought they would...in the draft. Grading just the draft, they get a C-. But throw in free agency with the draft (add in the extra picks for next year, a deeper draft than this year as most expect) and the Bess trade, and they get a B+. They did some really good things this year, FINALLY! This is a sign of things to come for this franchise. Let's break it down.

Draft Picks (5)

Round 1 - Barkevious Mingo
Round 3 - Leon McFadden
Round 6 - Jamoris Slaughter
Round 7 - Armonty Bryant
Round 7 - Garrett Gilkey

During the draft, the Browns made three trades. First, they sent the Steelers their fourth-round pick this year for the Steelers third-round pick in 2014. Second, they traded their fifth-round pick to the Colts for their 2014 fourth-round pick. So come 2014, we have a first-round, second-round, two third-rounds, two-fourth rounds, a fifth, sixth, seventh, and any compensatory picks minus any picks taken in the supplemental draft (last year we got Josh Gordon in round 2). I like those moves. The third was with Miami, swapping picks and adding Davone Bess. More on him later.


  • Barkevious Mingo was a really good pick. He fits the 3-4 scheme better and is very talented DE. I like taking players who are a little bit more raw than not, because to me that means even though they're good, they can STILL improve. What will it look like when that happens?! This gives the Browns the option to shop Jabaal Sheard they got last year since he's more of a 4-3 guy. Great pick here, even if Dee Milliner was on the board.
  • Leon McFadden was the Browns filling their need at CB. I'm guessing he'll get the starting job, but I just don't know how good he'll be in the NFL. He has potential to be really good. His awareness is top-notch, but his speed and size are not (5'9"). Maybe with a much-improved pass rush, it'll take some pressure off the corners anyway. Someone like Bradley Roby may be a better pickup next year from Ohio State, but in the meantime, I think he'll do better than penalty-plagued Buster Skrine at starting CB.
  • Jamoris Slaughter is an awesome name for a safety! He is probably the Browns best value pick. This guy was a third-rounder until he got injured last year. He's still recovering, so to get him in the third round probably wasn't a good idea. Getting him in the sixth round was a GREAT idea! With T.J Ward being really the only true starting safety for the Browns, Slaughter has a chance to come in and take the other starting safety spot.
  • Armonty Bryant is known as a character risk since getting busted for selling dope last year. He's a DE on a team now stacked with DE's. If he proves to be a head-case, Cleveland can ship him off. He's a seventh-rounder so it won't hurt much. If he can get his act together, he can provide even more depth to the attacking defense the Browns want to run. I don't love this pick, but I don't hate it, either.
  • I really like the addition of Garrett Gilkey. He played tackle at his time at Chadron State, a division 2 program. However, the Browns will be playing him at guard. Tackles are typically the best offensive linemen on the team, so by taking one of the best division 2 linemen and putting him in a position to do less than he was asked at Chadron helps fill the Browns need at guard. This guy may win out a starting spot, or at least the #2 guy for the guard-rotation.


Okay, so those are the draft picks that we got. Love Mingo, like McFadden, love Slaughter, not high on Bryant, and really like Gilkey. For a draft, this gets about a C-. Throw in the fact that the Browns basically upgraded their draft picks next year AND that they got Davone Bess. Davone Bess is a proven NFL wide receiver. Not only that, he's a great character guy. The Browns need both of these and got them in the same person for close to nothing! This may be the move that Cleveland fans realize later and say, "Wow! Glad we did that!" Bess has been ranked 2nd in the NFL over the past five years in 3rd down receptions. That means when teams really need a play, this has been the second-best guy to go to. Josh Gordon is becoming a really good receiver, but he's NOT a #1 guy. Davone Bess helps take some of the pressure of Gordon as well as mentoring him. Throw in Travis Benjamin, an under-sized but lighting quick receiver, David Nelson who the Browns picked up in free agency, and Greg Little as another option, and the Browns receiving corp, while not close to elite, became a lot better than what it was. And with Bess, we have a veteran among young players. This was probably the best move they made all week.

So where does this leave the Browns? Well, there are still some holes, but at least they're not as many nor as deep. Let's start on offense. Quarterback will be the next big position to be debated unless Weeden or Campbell does really well this year. The backfield held down by Richardson is fine. He's going to be an elite RB barring injury but the FB Marecic needs to be upgraded. O-line has been upgraded with the addition of Gilkey at guard. Tackles and center are fine. Two are pro-bowl type players in Thomas (LT) and Mack (C).  The TE position changed dramatically with the departure of Benjamin Watson. The Browns believe that they have a really good TE in Jordan Cameron but got some insurance in Kellen Davis and Gary Barnidge during free agency. Receivers have been upgraded.

Defensively is where the biggest strides were made. The D-line may be the best in the division, one of the best in the AFC. Rubin, Desmond Bryant, and Phil Taylor will hold down the tackle positions. With Rubin and Bryant in there for nickel and dime packages, it gives the Browns a great run-stopping tandem. On the outside, we have several guys to choose from including Desmond Bryant (he can play both), Jabaal Sheard, Barkevious Mingo, Armonty Bryant, and even Paul Kruger. This position will be intermingled with OLB, from which the Browns will probably start Kruger and Mingo if he makes it. There's also Quentin Groves, Ryan Rau, and Jabaal Sheard who they're trying to convert to OLB. So really, between DE and OLB, there are seven guys to rotate through who are or may be starting-caliber players.

The rest of the defense is really half-set. Inside linebacker is half-set with D'Qwell Jackson. Craig Robertson's spot will probably be on the table for next years' draft (assuming he gets re-signed). Corner is half-set with Joe Haden though Leon McFadden may prove he's the guy to match with Haden. Look for this to possibly be addressed in next years' draft also. Saftey is half-set with T.J Ward being a proven starter. Slaughter or one of the CB's acquired in free agency may win that spot. With a better pass-rush on the outisde, the DB's may not have as much to worry about this year.

So there you have it. The Browns still have a lot of cap room so I wouldn't be surprised if they made a play for guys like Nick Barnett (LB), Daryl Smith (LB), Winston Justice (T), Quentin Jammer (CB), John Abraham (DE), Kerry Rhodes (S), or Sam Shields (CB). It sucks that the Browns play in arguably the toughest division in football, so if Cleveland can pull out 7 or 8 wins, it will have been a really good year. Their schedule isn't easy but it has some very winnable games on the schedule: at home against Miami, Cincy, Buffalo, Detroit, Jacksonville and on the road against Kansas City, Cincy, and the Jets. These aren't elite, untouchable teams. The Browns for a few years always beat the defending super bowl champions the next year, too (New England, Giants, Saints), so anything's possible.

There's just one thing I would've done differently: I wouldn't have made the Pittsburgh trade. With that pick, the Steelers took Shamarko Thomas (S). He's probably Pittsburgh's second-best draft pick despite being their fourth overall. Since the Browns needed a safety, I would've gone for Thomas here. I still would've used my sixth-rounder on Slaughter as the value was so good. It'll be hard to argue this if Slaughter turns out to be a really good starter. Hopefully we get a really good third-rounder next year to help justify this trade.

What we can take from this off-season so far, and any more additions would make the case even stronger, is that the Browns have finally gotten better in several different ways. We've addressed some needs, have a new enthusiasm among players, and (I can't emphasize this enough) an owner who cares. This is what happens when owners want to win: their team gets better (unless you're Jerry Jones; different topic, different day).

If you're looking to become a season-ticket holder, this may be a good year to get in. The team still isn't great, but in five years if we can find a franchise QB, the Browns may be the new team atop the AFC North.



Tuesday, April 23, 2013

NFL Draft 2013 - Cleveland Browns (Pre-Draft)


Here we are again, trying to predict what the Browns are going to do with their draft picks. This is the first year of a new Browns era. New owner, new GM, new coaching staff, and everyone wanting to prove themselves to the Cleveland faithful that they can turn the Browns around. Can they?

The answer to that question is yes. We have a solid group of core talent out there right now. Joe Thomas, Trent Richardson, Haden, Jackson, Mack, Ward, Bryant, Kruger, and Gordon. These are guys that would start at their respective positions for just about any team. We also have some up-and-comers like Sheard, Benjamin, and Cameron. These guys could be really good once they mature.

This year, the Browns have 7 draft picks:


  1. Round 1 pick 6
  2. Round 3 pick 6
  3. Round 4 pick 7
  4. Round 5 pick 6
  5. Round 5 pick 31 (from the Colt McCoy trade to S.F)
  6. Round 6 pick 7
  7. Round 7 pick 21


Of course, with any team that went 5-11 the year before, there are some holes. The Browns biggest needs are CB, S, LB, and RG. DE and LB are not needs, but they're a little light on them so it wouldn't hurt to stack them a little, especially with the formation change from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4. The Browns got some reserve CB's in free agency in Kevin Barnes and Chris Owens. Quentin Groves is also a nice piece at LB. Ryan Rau was recently added as LB. Gary Barnidge serves as a backup TE. With all that in mind, here are the best scenarios for the Browns on draft night with their #6 pick:

Scenario #1 - Browns trade back with either Miami or San Diego as both are in need of an offensive lineman. With the huge drop-off from the #3 guy to the #4 guy, some teams may look to jump in front of Arizona if and only if the #2 or #3 guy is still on the board. KC is expected is take an OT, and any of the next 4 teams have been rumored to be willing to take one. Arizona definitely wants one, so if Miami or San Diego can send their first, second, and maybe even a late-round draft pick to the Browns, that would be worth it this year. Especially since the Browns don't have a second-round pick. Not a good year to be without that, although I think Gordon was worth it.

If the Browns get Miami's 12 pick, they'll most likely get their second round pick (#42) as well. This is probably the best scenario for Cleveland. They'd be able to get the second-best CB in Xavier Rhodes and get an extra pick (or more) in the second-round for a safety like Matt Elam. They could also pick up an OLB like Jarvis Jones in the 1st round and grab a CB like D.J Hayden in the second round, who some project Miami to get at #42 if they keep it. The Ha(y)den boys would be a tough out for any team, especially with his size.

If Cleveland takes San Diego's 11 and 45 picks, it would be pretty much the same scenario. With Miami, you're giving them a chance to jump more spaces than San Diego, so you may get more in return. Plus Miami's second-round pick is higher than San Diego's.

Scenario #2 - Browns draft Dion Jordan, DE/OLB from Oregon. He is the best guy to fit a 3-4 scheme. He's good in both pass rushing and coverage. This would keep Sheard as a DE where he likes to be while putting Jordan and Kruger on the outsides. Doubtful that Jordan drops this low. Look for him to be taken by Jacksonville.

Scenario #3 - Browns draft Dee Milliner, CB from Alabama. I really like Milliner, so it would be hard for me to choose if both Jordan and Milliner were on the board. I think if both are, Cleveland takes Jordan. If Jordan is gone and Milliner is still on the board (and they haven't traded back), they take Milliner. Some thought he was the best college football player, let alone defensive back, in the country last year.

Scenario #4 - The Browns decide to upset everyone in their fan base and choose Geno Smith, QB from West Virginia. Let's start it off on the right foot, guys, and NOT do anything THIS stupid. With the Browns, I can't take any stupid decisions off the table, though.

Scenario #5 - Jordan and Milliner are both gone, and they can't trade down. Browns pick either Ziggy Ansah, DE from BYU or Barkevious Mingo, OLB from LSU. These are both young players with a lot of upside to them. Horton did a good job with Calais Campbell in Arizona, also a young, raw talent at the time. I'd prefer Mingo but I'd be okay with either.

Scenario #6 - Browns draft Chance Warmack, OG from Alabama. I'm all for this pick as well, especially since Richardson has already worked with him. I'm all for taking SEC guys, especially from Alabama. That's partly why Mingo gets the nod for me over Ansah. Warmack would solidify the offensive line and give Richardson some nice holes to run through.

Except for #4, I would be okay with any of these scenarios. Stay away from QB's and WR's here although I know it's tempting. QB will still be an issue going into the season, but I like Campbell if Weeden doesn't show he's the guy. This gives the Browns another year and a chance at Johnny Manziel next year.    

Good luck, Browns! This is your chance to make a big splash, so do it right! Here's what Cleveland's starting lineup will probably look like this year:


CLEVELAND BROWNS 

Offense 

QBBrandon Weeden 

RBTrent Richardson 

FBOwen Marecic 

WRsJosh GordonGreg Little, Travis Benjamin, David Nelson 

TEJordan Cameron or Kellen Davis 

LTJoe Thomas 

LGJason Pinkston 

CAlex Mack 

RGShawn Lauvao (or Chance Warmack)

RTMitchell Schwartz 


Defense 

DTAhtyba Rubin 

NTPhillip Taylor 

RDEDesmond Bryant 

LOLB: Paul Kruger 

LILBCraig Robertson 

RILB: D'Qwell Jackson 

ROLBJabaal Sheard  (Dion Jordan, Barkevious Mingo, Ziggy Ansah, or Jarvis Jones)

LCBJoe Haden 

FSTashaun Gipson or Eric Hagg (Matt Elam)

SST.J. Ward 

RCBBuster Skrine (Dee Milliner, Xavier Rhodes, or D.J Hayden) 


Special teams 

KBrandon Bogotay or Shayne Graham 

PSpencer Lanning 

LSChristian Yount 

KR-PRTravis Benjamin